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Election Predictions


The illustration is a graph of pre-election surveys of "How the Elections Would Turn Out" if they happened today. The numbers show the "opinions of the public by percentage." I photographed it in the April 29 edition of Rovnost.


The major portions are as follows:
  • ODS (Civic Democrats): 30.6
  • ČSSD (Social Democrats): 26.4
  • KSČM (Communist Party): 18.1
  • KDU-ČSL (Christian Democrats-"People's" Party): 11.0
  • Strana zelených (Green Party): 7.8
  • others (some are named)

If you add the ČSSD and KSČM numbers, you get 44.5 &mdash certainly the largest percentage, though not a clear majority. This is why a ČSSD and KSČM alliance worries some. However, there are rumors of a ODS and KDU-ČSL alliance, which would yield a 41.6 percentage &mdash also significant. These, of course, are just a lot of predictions but add a bit of perspective to my May Day comments.

In the next week or so, I will be gone about 43.2 percent of the time, so you may notice that blog posts may lag. I will eat some Sacher Torte and have a Wiener melange for you in Vienna. Mmmmm! (If I can get up early enough to catch the bus. Dobrou.)

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